Older school children are as likely as adults to transmit COVID.

Source: Early Release – Contact Tracing during Coronavirus Disease Outbreak, South Korea, 2020 – Volume 26, Number 10—October 2020 – Emerging Infectious Diseases journal – CDC

This large study from a place that has done very thorough virus control and contact tracing, found that children can be and are vectors for transmission of COVID.  Sure, kids under age 10 are “half as likely” as adults to be the vector, but they’re by no means immune.  And above age 10, they’re just as likely as an adult to pass on the disease.

I hope this will have major impact on school planning for the upcoming Fall semester.

 

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

Source: COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

This is a neat, if scary, tool. On the lower left, you can choose an event size (anything from 10 to thousands of people). Then it shows you for every county in the US, what are the odds that a COVID+ person at that event?

So for example, in Harris County, at an event with 100 people, there’s a 98% chance that at least one of them has COVID. In a group of 10, there’s a 32% chance. Similar numbers for DeKalb County in Georgia.

The question then, of course, is what to do with this information.  It could influence your decision whether to engage in an activity in the first place.  Or could lead you to be extra diligent about social isolation and masks after the activity is over, because you know you could’ve been exposed.  Or, it might just make you throw up your hands and realize that you’re doomed, if you’re a classroom teacher with six periods of classes each of which contains more than two dozen students.

The path to who I am

So yesterday’s decision to consolidate all those years of writing meant I spent a lot of yesterday evening and this morning reading through it all. Which was An Experience, really.

Some of it makes me cringe. It’s clear to me that I am not the same person I was 15 years ago, and some of the posts made me cringe a bit. The intervening years have made me a lot more … well, I don’t like the term “woke” very much but that probably describes the change. My professional life has certainly evolved considerably.

I was far more naive about sharing personal “identifiable” details online and will want to delete or edit some things to be a little less hackable, I think.

But, it was a lovely trip down memory lane to see references to people who are still a central part of my life. And to be reminded of stories and experiences and ideas and projects.

And I might have wept a little at stories about Koshka, my sweet little Manx cat who passed away years ago but will always hold part of my heart.

On the whole, the read-through made me aware I am not the person I used to be… but to be the person I am now, perhaps I had to be that other person first.

It makes me wonder who I will be in another 15 years.

Suddenly… a history

So first there was LiveJournal. And I wrote stuff there… apparently a fair amount of stuff. Then there were bits of writing on Blogger and Facebook. Then I started this blog.

I realized today that it’s possible to import posts from LJ and Blogger into this forum, so I did that. I figure maybe it will be fun to have a longer record of my creative output. Now looking through those old posts, to make sure there’s nothing too terribly revealing or embarrassing there!

Fake it ’til you make it

My beloved inspired me in this writing prompt, because he shared with me some things he does on unmotivated days. Which is a lot of days for me, lately. I like staying home, and have plenty to do, so this COVID thing shouldn’t be that much of a hardship. But when there’s nothing scheduled outside the house, each day looks so much like the next that it’s easy to drift through life without ever doing much at all.

I do manage to exercise every day. I really don’t like exercise much, and lately it’s worse because I’m on a medication that makes my body stiffen up and hurt when I sit still for long. I’ve learned those symptoms improve when I get moving, so exercise is the best choice… but it really is hard to convince my hind-brain that the treadmill is the right place to be when it’s insisting I should crawl into my den and hibernate until I feel better. So, I trudge up the stairs to the treadmill, muttering “fake it ’til you make it” at my husband, and my workout starts with sluggish, low-resistance movement. Until I start to feel better, and then I’m OK with cranking up the speed and resistance to get a real workout.

On that same philosophy, my sweetie notes that it helps him to keep a short list of small, achievable tasks that will move him toward bigger goals. So, when he’s adrift, he commits to doing something from the list. Maybe that’s all he manages, but it’s something. And maybe once he gets started, he’s inspired enough to keep going. That sounded pretty smart to me.

So, in response to that, here are some small, achievable things I could look to do when I’m adrift?

  • Small household tasks
    • Water plants
    • Clean the kitchen sink
    • Clean toilets, sinks in bathrooms
    • etc. Probably I should write up a long list of such tasks and do them in order, then I’d never need to clean house.
  • Something physical to loosen me up
    • 5-10 minutes of yoga, stretching, or exercises to strengthen one core muscle group. Write out some routines and keep them on hand nearby the rug where I do yoga? RIght now I’ve collected some ideas on Pinterest. But having something right at hand would probably help overcome the barrier to start moving.
    • Walk around the block, so I’ll also get some vitamin D and get outside the house.
    • See aforementioned housework tasks.
  • Handicrafts
    • Crochet a square for an afghan project
    • Sew a couple of repair blocks on a quilt that needs repair
    • “recover” a discarded clothing item by taking it apart for materials (rip seams to free up salvageable fabric; remove usable zippers, buttons, buckles; unravel knit items and wind the yarn for future use)
  • Learn something
    • Do a unit on Khan Academy to refresh my knowledge of math, physics, chemistry
    • Do 15 minutes of Spanish practice on Duolingo
    • Look up articles or YouTube videos about how to do bigger projects that are currently intimidating to me
  • Organize and archive
    • Scan a folder of items in my filing cabinet that don’t need to be kept in hard copy form.
    • Work on organizing and labeling the photos and documents already on my hard drive
    • Do a complete inventory of one spot in the house (eg all the furniture in a room, all the books on a shelf, etc) for insurance records.
    • Copy an old posting form social media or other more ephemeral place, store a copy on my hard drive and post a copy (back-dated) on this drive.
  • Work on art skills
    • Do a zentangle or other doodle
    • Find a youtube video about how to draw or paint something and try to emulate it
  • Write something! Here! In this journal!

So, that’s my list in response to his.

Also, I’ve signed up for an online class with regular meetings, as a way of providing some externally-enforced goals and deadlines in my life. I expect I will write something more about these in future.

Toddler herb garden for dummies

I have a friend who has many demands on her time and energy, who challenged me to describe the easiest possible backyard herb garden. Her challenge was a “for dummies” approach that “a toddler could do in two hours”.

Not sure that exists, but it made me consider how I might tackle the simplest plan that might be successful over time. Note that as with so much in life, quickest and simplest are not synonymous with cheapest.

Challenges to be overcome with an outdoor herb garden in Houston:

  • Heat and dryness: herbs will need to be watered daily to survive the summer heat. They might also need conditions a bit different than the books say – for example, I find some of them do better with a bit of shade rather than full exposure to our punishing summer sun.
  • Terrible soil: our heavy black gumbo clay is the opposite of what herbs like.
  • Growth control: once you provide irrigation and the right kind of soil, certain of the herbs tend to grow like mad and take over, unless there is something controlling their spread.
  • Weed control: likewise without some effort, the weeds will grow out of control and choke out your good stuff.

So the not too cheap but quick solution to these things probably involves automated watering with a sprinkler system, a substantial layer of weed barrier on the ground, a shipment of good quality garden soil, several raised beds separated enough to let different herbs grow lushly without competing with one another. And herbs bought as seedlings from the nursery rather than starting from seed.

The order of action might be

  1. Planning: List the herbs you want, make a plan for how many different containers you would need and how they might be arranged. Identify a site that gets regular watering from the sprinkler system. In an ideal world you would use drip irrigation but that goes beyond the toddler two hour rule.
  2. Shop and gather materials
    • A large supply of flattened cardboard or newspaper (might be optional. See below)
    • Some sort of edging between your garden and the lawn.
    • Weed barrier fabric
    • Raised containers of some sort. See below.
    • Dirt. Needs to be listed as soil for growing, not just topsoil. Get something appropriate for container gardening.
    • Some sort of attractive pathway material… mulch or pebbles (I suppose this could be optional?)
    • herbs. And maybe a few flowers to intersperse among them to make you smile.
  3. Install edging around the planned garden area
  4. Cover the whole area inside the edging with several layers of newspapers or cardboard. Water each layer thoroughly as you go to eliminate air pockets and get solid coverage.
  5. On top of the paper layer, set out your containers with enough space between them that you’ll be able to navigate among them when they have big bushy overgrown plants. Fill them with soil.
  6. Cover the ground around and between the containers with weed barrier fabric, then cover with mulch or stone to make nice walkways.
  7. Then plant your herbs. From here they will just want water, maybe occasional slow-release fertilizer, and weeding (hopefully not too much thanks to the barriers you put up).

There are several easy options for containers, and the ones you use will determine whether you need a layer of cardboard or newspaper under your weed barrier fabric. Basically, the idea behind the paper is that it will be solid enough to kill off weeds and grass for just a short time (maybe a few weeks) but then will break down enough that plant roots can grow down through and past it. So if you choose any sort of raised container that is open to the soil at the bottom, you want a layer of paper or cardboard under it to kill off the grass and weeds. On the other hand, if you go with big pots that have a solid bottom, they can just sit on weed barrier. Theoretically they could sit directly on the lawn, but they’re hard to mow around.

Some ideas for containers

  • Garden centers often sell raised beds.
  • You can buy big buckets (5 gallon) for just a few bucks and drill holes in the base of them. Get the ones listed as food safe.
  • if you buy dirt in plastic bags, you can cut off both ends of the bag, fold it over on itself, and resulting soft tube with soil.
  • You can buy big pots or whiskey barrel planters
  • You can arrange cinder blocks to form beds. The holes in the blocks can hold smaller herbs or decorative flowers.

When positioning plants in the garden, remember that big bushy plants like basil, fennel, dill will block light and sprinkler spray so put them towards the back (or the center of a middle of the yard garden with multiple sprinklers). Then put a layer of smaller upright plants and finally put trailing plants like oregano or thyme right up front where they can cascade down over the side.

Really invasive herbs like mint need their own pot, unless you’re prepared to continuously manage them.

So, that’d be how I set up an herb garden quickly in a Houston backyard. Of course, I would probably wait until cooler weather to do it, because I am a wimp…

Learning to shop remotely

On my mind today: Learning to shop in a world of remote retail. (inspired by Walmart’s new bid to compete with Amazon Prime, plus by COVID).

It took COVID to get me buying more things online with delivery or curbside pickup, even though I’ve disliked in-person shopping for years – that is, it can be fun to shop with a friend, or to go on a hunt for ideas about new and unique stuff you never realized you needed. But shopping just to supply yourself with basic stuff… every step from parking lot to checkout is fraught with irritation.
But I kept doing in-person shopping because I knew what I was doing. I had years of accumulated sense of where to go to find my desired item in-stock at a competitive price and usable quality. Also had some sense of the politics and ethics of the stores I used, both locally and (for chains) overall.
Online shopping… well, There’s a lot to learn.

Key questions:

  • Practical questions about shopping itself:
    • Where to get the best deal (including costs like shipping) for various products, including but not limited to household goods, craft/sewing supplies, tools, gifts, etc.
    • How to assess quality of an item you can’t pick up and inspect.
    • Who has the best layouts for shopping sanely for products. For example, in shopping for clothes, I would like a site to let me select for items available in “tall”. Seems like every site offers a filter for “petite”, but few do for “tall”. Fabric should be filtered by relevant qualities like woven versus knit. And so on.
    • Who is reliable as far as delivering when promised, handling returns honorably, etc.
  • Financial and information security: How to navigate security for online payments. Safe enough to enter my credit card info? Should I be using a third-party payment arrangement like PayPal, or does that just add another point of risk? How to manage the possibility that one’s address, telephone information might be sold for advertising purposes or worse?
  • Ethical and political considerations: How to support the sellers and companies whose values reflect your own? How to find those who treat their employees and suppliers well? What about political contributions, to candidates or causes – how to uncover those details? How to identify the most environmentally responsible approach to buying? What’s the online equivalent of the small, family-owned business?

No advice, here, just questions…

Recipe experiment: Jambalaya

I have this idea of coming up with basic cooking formulas that would let you improvise with the ingredients you have on hand. Two types of formulas actually. First, flavor profile formulas: typical ingredients, ratios, and seasonings used to evoke a particular style or ethnicity of food. Second, preparation formulas: ratios and steps to combine ingredients to get some typical dish.

So in this case, the flavor profile I was playing with was “cajun”. Cajun dishes all seem to start with or contain the triad of onion, celery, and green pepper, as well as a broad and complex array of spices and usually some form of tomato. I’ve looked up cajun recipes before, and they always seem to have a lot of spices with surprisingly little agreement between recipes about which are the most important of them. I had a jar of Penzey’s Cajun Spice, which I wanted to try out and which seemed like it would vastly simplify the process. So I thought it might shortcut to try the spice combo.

The cooking formula I was working with was basically “brown rice with stuff in it”. Rice with stuff in it is a dish that appears in a vast array of cultures and cuisines, and the variety comes with what stuff and what seasoning you add. Jambalaya is a cajun variant. Variables for this formula would include how much of each type of stuff, how much water, preparation steps, and how long it cooks.

My little balcony garden offered up onions (bulbs and greens) of indeterminate variety (started from rooting a bunch of green onions long ago), parsley (flat leaf italian), celery (thin strongly flavored stalks with big flavorful leaves, grown from the base of store-bought celery), and chard (red and white rainbow chard). This seemed like a strong start.

So I assembled the following ingredients:

  • 14 oz of sausage (ideally you’d use something like andouille, but I had some sort of Kielbasa on hand so that’s what I used) diced into 1/2 inch chunks
  • 2.17 lb boneless skinless chicken thighs, cut into 3/4 inch chunks
  • 2 onions, bulbs and greens (made about 2 cups diced bulbs, and maybe 1/4 chopped green onions from their tops)
  • 11 thin stalks celery – made about 1 1/2 cup chopped stems, maybe 1 cup chopped leaves
  • Chard – ten or eleven good-sized leaves with stems. Chopped stems came to about 3/4 cups, and several large handfuls of leaves.
  • 2 large green peppers, diced
  • 3 tbsp chopped garlic
  • 1 can diced tomatoes
  • 2 tbsp Cajun Seasoning
  • 2 tbsp chopped parsley
  • 3 cups brown rice
  • 3 cups chicken broth

Ingredient prep – I lined up the following on the counter in order they’d be used:

  • Diced sausage
  • Diced chicken
  • First-round veggies: onion (bulb), celery stalks, green peppers, chard stems. Add the garlic onto this pile. This was about 5 cups of chopped veggies.
  • Cajun seasoning
  • Rice
  • Broth
  • Tomatoes
  • Second-round veggies: chopped green onion/onion tops, celery leaves, chopped parsley leaves. This was around 1.5-2 cups chopped leaves, depending on how firmly you pack them.
  • FInal container holds the cleaned chard leaves, cut into nice 1-inch strips

Steps for cooking:

  • Set instant pot to saute. Once hot, browned sausage then removed from pot.
  • Then browned the chicken in two batches, removing from pot when done. By now there was quite a bit of residue on the bottom of the pot.
  • Tossed in the container of onion, celery, chard stems, and garlic, sauteed. Used released liquid to scrape and deglaze pot. Once soft,
  • Added meat back in and added the cajun seasoning. Stirred a bit, then added in the rice and stirred until the rice was well-coated in the seasoning, fat, and juices.
  • Poured in the broth and canned tomatoes and stirred in the parsley, green onion, celery tops, then set instant pot for 22 minutes high pressure.
  • Once it finished, I let it naturally depressurize for perhaps 20 minutes, then stirred in the chard leaves so they’d wilt and cook in the residual heat.

Results: Not too spicy, per husband’s specific request, but quite a bit of flavor. The rice is a bit gooey – which can mean a bit too much cooking, or a bit too much water. Made quite a lot – 8 generous servings.

To try next time: Decrease amount of water so rice will be firmer, less sticky. There was likely quite a bit of extra water from all the veggies, even after pre-cooking some of them, and the can of tomatoes would have added water as well.

What a time to be doing the census.

Today’s intellectual exercise* was triggered by Keith noting that he’d completed our census and sent it in. To which I said** “Great. Complete the massive once-a-decade population count just before a massive die-off”.

So then we speculated a bit about the effect on the political landscape if the die-off was not random.
Which it won’t be – unfortunately, effects will be disproportionate among certain populations. Essential workers (healthcare, food industry, etc) are at more risk. Older people and sicker people. People who decide to defy the isolation recommendations for whatever reason. People who live in higher population density areas (maybe? Infection rate would be higher, but rural folks, when affected, may have less access to life-saving healthcare facilities?).

So you could have a census count, assign representation, then have a population die-off that leaves some geographic areas over-represented for the next decade, along with unknown shifts in the political landscape in those areas either because of non-selective population thinning, or because people change their political attitudes in response to the whole experience.

From a partisan point of view, this could go either way. Demographically, the Republican party is older, and the worst “deniers” appear to be right-wing. But, essential workers probably are disproportionately Democrat. And high-density populations (cities) tend to be more liberal than the surrounding countryside.

It’s another of those exercises that leave me shrugging and saying “I have no idea how this will roll out.”

*We both deal with uncertain situations by doing a lot of analytic speculation about hypothetical sets of conditions and assumptions. I’m sharing that with the larger population in case that’s of interest to anyone else…

** I was especially blunt because hadn’t had much coffee yet this morning.

Design a site like this with WordPress.com
Get started